RRevBench
/ Board/XOM
Today
$0.00/ $1.00

XOM

Energy
Exxon Mobil
$148.36
+0.68% today
RecommendationNot advice
18%confidence
HOLD
Conviction
Low
Score
+0.10
ML prob
49%
Risk sizingModerate risk
Max position
7%
Stop loss
weak convictionelevated volatility
Strategist thesis

XOM’s near-term outlook is mixed: strong technical momentum and positive news sentiment suggest potential upside, but weak fundamentals and a slightly bearish ML signal offset these. Given the thin overall edge and elevated volatility, a hold stance is appropriate. Short-term moves are uncertain and the weak conviction flag reinforces caution.

Counterarguments

Fundamentals score is negative, pointing to underlying valuation or earnings concerns.

The combined score is barely positive (+0.10), indicating no clear directional edge.

Elevated volatility could lead to unpredictable price swings over the next few days.

The ML model is near-neutral, offering no strong predictive support.

Price

6 months · daily candles

Signal contribution

Signed push toward the recommendation, by source.

← sell · buy →
ML model
−0.02
News
+0.60
Technical
+0.70
Fundamentals
−0.50

Agent insights

newsBullish
conf 70%

Rising oil prices driven by plummeting US reserves and resurgent Iran conflict could boost ExxonMobil's second-quarter profits by $5 billion. The company's expanding LNG portfolio and 2040 strategy balancing oil and cleaner energy offer long-term growth. Broader market sentiment is bullish with energy stocks surging overnight. Minor relative underperformance versus Chevron noted but overall prospects remain strong.

technicalBullish
conf 80%

Strong 12-1 momentum (+30.06%) and price well above 50 and 200-day MAs confirm uptrend. Positive MACD and neutral RSI support continuation; Bollinger %b near 1 indicates strength but not extreme overbought.

Regime uptrend
fundamentalsBearish
conf 90%

Recent quarterly net income and EPS show significant and accelerating year-over-year declines, indicating fundamental deterioration. Without valuation metrics, it's unclear whether the stock is cheap or expensive, but the downward earnings trend is pronounced.

Valuation unclearGrowth decelerating

Scored news

+0.00
10%

The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Apple, JPMorgan Chase, ExxonMobil, Smith-Midland and Coffee Holding

2026-07-20analyst
+0.00
10%

This ‘Cash Cow’ ETF’s Energy Bet Just Paid Off as Brent Spiked 14% in Five Days

2026-07-20macro
−0.15
40%

Chevron vs. ExxonMobil: Only One Deserves a Spot in Your Portfolio Today.

2026-07-20analyst
+0.60
50%

Oil Analyst Warns of ‘Violent Repricing’ as US Oil Reserves Fall to a Level Not Seen Since the Reagan Administration

2026-07-20analyst
+0.00
10%

Nasdaq Futures Lead Rebound Despite Middle East Tensions – Why LMT, OXY, CVX, XOM, GME Are In Focus

2026-07-20macro
+0.00
10%

International Paper expands board with two new appointments

2026-07-20other
+0.70
60%

Why Are BATL, TPET, XOM, CVX, USO, UCO Stocks Rising Overnight?

2026-07-20macro
+0.60
70%

Higher Oil Prices Could Boost ExxonMobil's Profits By $5 Billion in the Second Quarter. Here's What Investors Need to Know.

2026-07-18earnings
+0.00
20%

Oil and Gas Employment Hits a 2026 Low Even as Production Sets Records

2026-07-18macro
+0.00
20%

ExxonMobil Stock Offers a Different Kind of Fuel

2026-07-18analyst
+0.30
60%

ExxonMobil (XOM) Maps Out A 2040 Plan Built On Oil And Cleaner Energy

2026-07-18other
+0.00
10%

Top Stock Reports for Apple, JPMorgan & ExxonMobil

2026-07-17other

Fundamentals

FQ 2021-09-30
Metric
Value
YoY
revenue
$71.9B
+58.27%
revenue
$87.7B
+52.44%
revenue
$111.3B
+68.73%
revenue
$106.5B
+48.16%
revenue
$83.6B
−4.66%
revenue
$80.8B
−27.39%
net_income
$9.2B
+17.26%
net_income
$8.6B
−5.07%
net_income
$7.7B
−6.17%
net_income
$7.1B
−23.35%
net_income
$7.5B
−12.33%
net_income
$4.2B
−45.77%
eps_diluted
$2.14
+10.31%
eps_diluted
$1.92
−14.67%
eps_diluted
$1.76
−14.56%
eps_diluted
$1.64
−23.36%
eps_diluted
$1.76
−8.33%
eps_diluted
$1.00
−43.18%